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http://hdl.handle.net/10071/9491
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Campo DC | Valor | Idioma |
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dc.contributor.author | Madureira, N. L. | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2015-07-30T11:16:46Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2015-07-30T11:16:46Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2014 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 0172-6404 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://ciencia.iscte-iul.pt/public/pub/id/19927 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10071/9491 | - |
dc.description | WOS:000343528000004 (Nº de Acesso Web of Science) | - |
dc.description.abstract | A global economic crisis is the most difficult kind of event to predict. This article asks a straightforward question: did anyone come close to anticipating the oil crisis of 1973/74, which represented a new type of historical sequence? Was the likelihood of an oil shock self-evident at the time? To answer this, I examine the degree of awareness in Europe and the United States of the three possible triggering factors: Egypt’s disposition to start a war and enlist the support of oil-producers; the Arab interest in oil conservation and long-term income maximization; and the imbalance in the oil market and the delayed adjustment of oil prices. For each of these topics, I set out both what was expected and what was actually in the offing; the information available to Western analysts and that unknown; the communication noises and the flagrant bias. The conclusion pays tribute to three men – James Akins, Pierre Wack, and Ted Newland – who had guessed what was coming ahead, and explains why their predictions almost succeeded, while others failed. | por |
dc.language.iso | eng | por |
dc.publisher | Zentrum fur Historische Sozialforschung e.V | por |
dc.rights | openAccess | por |
dc.subject | Energy crisis | por |
dc.title | Waiting for the energy crisis: Europe and the United States on the eve of the first oil shock | por |
dc.type | article | por |
dc.pagination | 70-93 | en_US |
dc.peerreviewed | Sim | por |
dc.relation.publisherversion | (© 2014, Nuno L. Madureira) http://www.gesis.org/en/hsr/current-issues/current-issues/394-energy-crises/ | - |
dc.journal | Historical Social Research/ Historische Sozialforschung | en_US |
dc.volume | 39 | en_US |
dc.number | 4 | en_US |
degois.publication.firstPage | 70 | por |
degois.publication.lastPage | 93 | por |
degois.publication.issue | 4 | por |
degois.publication.title | Historical Social Research/ Historische Sozialforschung | por |
dc.date.updated | 2015-07-30T11:13:38Z | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.12759/hsr.39.2014.4.70-93 | - |
Aparece nas coleções: | DH-RI - Artigos em revistas científicas internacionais com arbitragem científica |
Ficheiros deste registo:
Ficheiro | Descrição | Tamanho | Formato | |
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publisher_version_HSR_39_4_Madureira.pdf | 678,96 kB | Adobe PDF | Ver/Abrir |
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