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http://hdl.handle.net/10071/7152
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Title: «Economic Voting in Portugal, 2002-2009»
Authors: Freire, A.
Santana-Pereira, José
Keywords: Economic voting
Elections
Portugal
Sociotropic perceptions
Multiparty systems
Issue Date: 2012
Publisher: Elsevier
Abstract: This article tests the economic voting hypothesis in Portugal during the three most recent first-order elections (2002, 2005, 2009), trying to make sense of the multiplicity of choices in the Portuguese party system. We observed that positive sociotropic perceptions increase the probability to vote for the incumbent, even when we control for long-term factors of vote choice; egotropic effects are weaker. Negative economic perceptions not only lead to a higher probability to vote for the major opposition party, but, in some cases, increase the probabilities to vote for small parties or to refrain from voting. Sociotropic effects are actually quite constant in this timeframe, but their strength to explain the vote is lower than that of ideology and (before 2009) religiosity.
Description: WOS:000307682300007 (Nº de Acesso Web of Science)
“Prémio Científico ISCTE-IUL 2013”
Peer reviewed: Sim
URI: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379412000273
https://ciencia.iscte-iul.pt/public/pub/id/11646
http://hdl.handle.net/10071/7152
ISSN: 0261-3794
Publisher version: The definitive version is available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.02.006
Appears in Collections:CIES-RI - Artigos em revista científica internacional com arbitragem científica

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