Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10071/10859
Author(s): | Pereira, I. Lagoa, S. |
Date: | 2015 |
Title: | Flight-to-quality and contagion in the european sovereign debt crisis: the cases of Portugal and Greece |
Collection title and number: | DINÂMIA Working Papers 16 |
Keywords: | Financial contagion Flight-to-quality European sovereign debt crisis DCC-GARCH model |
Abstract: | This work aims to analyze the co-movements between the Portuguese, Greek, Irish and German government bond markets after the subprime crisis (2007 to 2013). Additionally, it aims to test the existence of contagion between the Portuguese, Greece and Irish bond markets, and to explore the phenomenon of flight-to-quality from the Portuguese and Greek bond markets to the German market. The analysis is undertaken using a DCC-IGARCH model with daily data for the 10 year yields government bonds. Results suggest the existence of contagion between the Greek and the Portuguese markets, and to a lesser extent between the Irish and the Portuguese markets. The correlation between the Portuguese and Greek yields at the end of the analyzed period indicates the non-existence of decoupling between the two countries. During most of the identified crisis periods, flight-to-quality flows are evident from the Portuguese and Greek bond markets to the German market. |
Peerreviewed: | Sim |
Access type: | Open Access |
Appears in Collections: | DINÂMIA'CET-WP - Working papers com arbitragem científica |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
---|---|---|---|---|
DINAMIA_WP_2015-16.pdf | 1,43 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.